◆ Market Correction Risk Scorecard

Earnings & Expectations 57.7 · YELLOW

Level 1 · weight 35%

Metrics

MetricValueZStatusSource
Guidance Raise/Lower Ratio
Mag-7 guidance raises divided by lowers, trailing 180 days.
3.00 ratio 1.46 YELLOW transcripts + GPT
Avg EPS Surprise %
Mean EPS surprise percentage across reports, by quarter.
3.82 percent 1.16 YELLOW alphavantage:EARNINGS
S&P 500 EPS Revision Breadth
Forward EPS up-revisions divided by down-revisions across the S&P 500, 30-day. Higher = healthier.
1.13 ratio 0.31 GREEN yfinance:eps_revisions (S&P 500)
Earnings Beat Rate (qtr)
Share of reports beating consensus EPS, by quarter.
1.00 fraction -0.23 GREEN alphavantage:EARNINGS
Mag-7 NTM EPS Estimate Δ (90d)
Percent change in aggregate Mag-7 forward EPS estimates over the last 90 days. Rising = healthier.
3.67 percent -0.13 GREEN yfinance:eps_trend