Market Correction Risk Scorecard

Earnings & Expectations 45.1 · YELLOW

Level 1 · weight 35%

Metrics

MetricValueZStatusSource
Guidance Raise/Lower Ratio
Mag-7 guidance raises divided by lowers, trailing 180 days.
6.50 ratio -1.48 GREEN transcripts + GPT
Mag-7 NTM EPS Estimate Δ (90d)
Percent change in aggregate Mag-7 forward EPS estimates over the last 90 days. Rising = healthier.
3.07 percent 0.46 GREEN yfinance:eps_trend
Earnings Beat Rate (qtr)
Share of reports beating consensus EPS, by quarter.
1.00 fraction -0.30 GREEN alphavantage:EARNINGS
Avg EPS Surprise %
Mean EPS surprise percentage across reports, by quarter.
10.02 percent -0.25 GREEN alphavantage:EARNINGS
S&P 500 EPS Revision Breadth
Forward EPS up-revisions divided by down-revisions across the S&P 500, 30-day. Higher = healthier.
1.16 ratio -0.05 GREEN yfinance:eps_revisions (S&P 500)