Market Correction Risk Scorecard

Technology Concentration Risk 59.3 · YELLOW

Level 2 · weight 25%

Metrics

MetricValueZStatusSource
AI Monetization Tracker
GPT score of accelerating, revenue-generating AI adoption cited on Mag-7 calls. Higher = healthier.
0.85 index 2.32 RED transcripts + GPT
Capex/OCF — MSFT
MSFT capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
0.63 ratio 1.21 YELLOW yfinance:fundamentals
Capex/OCF — META
META capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
0.69 ratio 1.18 YELLOW yfinance:fundamentals
Capex/OCF — GOOGL
GOOGL capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
0.71 ratio 1.14 YELLOW yfinance:fundamentals
Transcript Optimization Index
Ratio of optimize/efficient/disciplined to expand/invest/build language in calls.
0.63 ratio -0.98 GREEN transcripts + GPT
Mag-4 Combined Capex YoY
(MSFT+AMZN+GOOGL+META) TTM capex YoY. Deceleration is the danger signal.
91.22 percent -0.92 GREEN yfinance:fundamentals
Capex/OCF — AMZN
AMZN capex divided by operating cash flow, TTM. Higher = more strain.
1.02 ratio 0.68 YELLOW yfinance:fundamentals
NVDA Revenue YoY
NVDA reported revenue YoY. Faster growth = healthier AI cycle.
85.23 percent 0.32 GREEN yfinance:fundamentals
NVDA Guidance vs Consensus
NVDA NTM revenue guidance divided by pre-print consensus. Above 1 = beat.
STALE transcripts + GPT + yfinance