Market Correction Risk Scorecard

Market Sentiment Indicators 40.7 · YELLOW

Level 6 · weight 5%

Metrics

MetricValueZStatusSource
AI News Sentiment Ratio
Positive divided by negative AI-topic articles over the last 7 days.
3.64 ratio -1.22 GREEN news_digest + GPT
Recession/Layoff Mention Frequency
Share of articles in the last 7 days mentioning recession/layoff/downturn.
0.00 fraction -0.93 GREEN news_digest keyword scan
VIX Term Structure (9D/3M)
VIX9D divided by VIX3M. Above 1 = backwardation = acute near-term stress.
0.72 ratio -0.86 GREEN yfinance:^VIX9D / ^VIX3M
Recession Mention Velocity
7-day recession/layoff mention frequency divided by 30-day frequency. Above 1 = accelerating bearish narrative.
0.71 ratio -0.62 GREEN news_digest keyword scan
VIX (Implied Volatility)
CBOE Volatility Index. Higher = more fear priced into options.
15.17 index -0.50 GREEN yfinance:^VIX
Call Transcript Sentiment
Aggregate GPT sentiment across the most recent Mag-7 + NVDA earnings calls.
0.70 score 0.41 GREEN transcripts + GPT
CBOE SKEW Index
CBOE SKEW measures tail risk priced into S&P 500 options. Above 145 historically precedes major drawdowns by 1-3 months.
149.77 index STALE yfinance:^SKEW
Put/Call Ratio (5d avg)
CBOE total put/call ratio, 5-day average. Higher = more downside hedging.
STALE yfinance:^CPC